Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.4%). Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Bonino 51.2% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 51.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 67.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 62.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Lizotte
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Lizotte
Bonino
Last 10: Lizotte 2-8 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Lizotte
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Lizotte
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Lizotte
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
51.7% (777)
-0.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
60.0% (50)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
43.9% (98)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Bonino
Home
52.5% (326)
48.2% (461)
Away
50.5% (281)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Lizotte
Bonino
P1
51.4%
54.1%
P2
56.3%
49.7%
P3
46.1%
50.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |