Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 80.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 91.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 67.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
45.9% (697)
+7.0%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
47.9% (117)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
48.0% (25)
-4.9%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Schmaltz
Home
44.2% (242)
44.9% (434)
Away
56.0% (234)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Lizotte
Schmaltz
P1
49.6%
41.5%
P2
46.9%
46.7%
P3
52.6%
51.1%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |