Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.8% vs Sturm 54.1% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 58.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 55.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Lizotte
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (279)
54.1% (233)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (102)
59.5% (74)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Lizotte is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (244).
Lizotte shoots left. Sturm is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Sturm
Home
45.1% (182)
54.4% (149)
Away
58.8% (199)
56.3% (158)
By Period
Lizotte
Sturm
P1
51.9%
57.1%
P2
50.0%
55.0%
P3
54.3%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
52.2%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
55.4%