Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Krebs 45.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 67.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 78.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 70.1%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Lizotte
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lizotte
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
44.4% (403)
+8.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
33.3% (6)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
45.0% (20)
-1.9%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Krebs
Home
44.2% (242)
46.3% (205)
Away
56.0% (234)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Lizotte
Krebs
P1
49.6%
47.0%
P2
46.9%
45.4%
P3
52.6%
40.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |