Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Danault 54.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 84.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 56.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 58.2%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Lizotte
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lizotte
Danault
Last 5: Lizotte 3-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
56.2% (745)
-3.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
45.1% (51)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
51.6% (124)
-8.5%
On power play, Danault has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Danault
Home
44.2% (242)
56.7% (402)
Away
56.0% (234)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Lizotte
Danault
P1
49.6%
55.5%
P2
46.9%
54.2%
P3
52.6%
55.2%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |