Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Donato 47.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Donato 84.0%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 74.8%
Neutral zone
Donato 51.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 84.0%
16.0%
84.0%
Lizotte
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Lizotte
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
46.8% (297)
+6.1%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
41.0% (39)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
100.0% (1)
-56.9%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Donato
Home
44.2% (242)
45.8% (142)
Away
56.0% (234)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Lizotte
Donato
P1
49.6%
49.5%
P2
46.9%
45.7%
P3
52.6%
43.4%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |