Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Steel 48.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 62.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 53.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.5%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Lizotte
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lizotte
Steel
Last 5: Lizotte 2-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Lizotte
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Lizotte
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
49.5% (553)
+3.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
61.3% (31)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
30.6% (49)
+10.8%
On power play, Steel has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Lizotte is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Lizotte shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Steel
Home
51.4% (383)
46.4% (347)
Away
50.9% (424)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Lizotte
Steel
P1
48.8%
52.1%
P2
51.0%
49.8%
P3
53.5%
45.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.2%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |