Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.4%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 10-0 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lizotte 74.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 51.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 61.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Lizotte
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
10
(10 meetings)
0
10
Lizotte
Kuraly
Last 10: Lizotte 0-10 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Lizotte
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
7
Lizotte
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Lizotte
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
51.6% (5,161)
+0.0%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
56.4% (101)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
44.4% (1,091)
-2.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lizotte is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,373).
Lizotte shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Kuraly
Home
49.5% (1,840)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Lizotte
Kuraly
P1
48.0%
51.2%
P2
52.3%
50.0%
P3
50.5%
50.2%
OT
75.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |