Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 58.5%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 94.3%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 76.0%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Lizotte
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lizotte
Stamkos
Last 10: Lizotte 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
6
Lizotte
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Lizotte
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
57.1% (368)
-4.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
55.2% (96)
-30.2%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
50.0% (10)
-6.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +30.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stamkos
Home
44.2% (242)
53.9% (230)
Away
56.0% (234)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Lizotte
Stamkos
P1
49.6%
56.7%
P2
46.9%
54.1%
P3
52.6%
59.2%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |