Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Frost 50.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 71.0%
Defensive zone
Frost 69.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 72.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Wheeler
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Wheeler
Frost
Last 5: Wheeler 5-0 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
0
Wheeler
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
0
Wheeler
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
49.7% (3,652)
-3.0%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
55.4% (632)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
55.0% (40)
-19.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Wheeler shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Frost
Home
47.5% (883)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
44.2% (822)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Wheeler
Frost
P1
45.0%
51.2%
P2
48.2%
51.3%
P3
44.5%
48.8%
OT
37.5%
64.9%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |