Blake Wheeler vs Nathan MacKinnon
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 54.3% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+15.1%)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 57.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 71.2%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 53.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Wheeler
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (34)
45.5% (1,190)
+16.3%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
56.4% (94)
+4.3%
On even strength, Wheeler has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Wheeler is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Wheeler shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Wheeler
MacKinnon
Home
46.2% (26)
47.8% (670)
Away
72.2% (36)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Wheeler
MacKinnon
P1
76.9%
45.3%
P2
62.1%
48.5%
P3
50.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
76.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
61.3%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.2%