Scouting Report
Blake Wheeler holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Strome 44.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 69.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 58.6%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 58.5%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Wheeler
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Wheeler
Strome
Last 7: Wheeler 5-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
3
1
Wheeler
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
44.2% (6,887)
+2.5%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
49.2% (855)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
41.5% (410)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,379).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Strome
Home
47.5% (883)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
44.2% (822)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Wheeler
Strome
P1
45.0%
43.9%
P2
48.2%
45.4%
P3
44.5%
44.4%
OT
37.5%
46.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |