Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs McBain 45.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 61.2%
Defensive zone
Groulx 54.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 53.1%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Groulx
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Groulx
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Groulx
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (222)
46.3% (568)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
37.5% (8)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (48)
37.8% (74)
+6.0%
On power play, Groulx has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Groulx shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Groulx
McBain
Home
49.6% (129)
50.6% (330)
Away
39.0% (146)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Groulx
McBain
P1
43.6%
45.4%
P2
45.0%
44.5%
P3
43.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
42.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
44.0%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |