Bo Groulx vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.1% vs Pageau 54.8% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 91.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 90.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 88.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 89.8%
10.2%
89.8%
Groulx
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Groulx
Pageau
Last 7: Groulx 5-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Groulx
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
3
0
Groulx
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (393)
55.8% (9,525)
-11.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
57.0% (1,008)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (94)
49.6% (2,077)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Groulx is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Groulx shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,869).
Home / Away
Groulx
Pageau
Home
50.0% (244)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
36.1% (252)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Groulx
Pageau
P1
45.1%
54.7%
P2
43.9%
56.3%
P3
40.4%
53.5%
OT
33.3%
54.4%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |