Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Larsson 49.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Groulx 60.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 67.4%
Neutral zone
Larsson 50.4%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Groulx
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Groulx
Larsson
Last 6: Groulx 3-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Groulx
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (306)
50.5% (4,382)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
47.7% (153)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (66)
43.8% (714)
-4.4%
On even strength, Larsson has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Groulx is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Groulx shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Groulx
Larsson
Home
49.3% (205)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
38.7% (173)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Groulx
Larsson
P1
44.4%
51.6%
P2
46.0%
49.7%
P3
43.1%
47.2%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
38.0%▼
41.5%
44.4%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |