Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 43.6% vs Norris 49.9% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 52.2%
Defensive zone
Groulx 78.9%
Neutral zone
Groulx 65.5%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Groulx
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Groulx
Norris
Last 6: Groulx 2-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Groulx
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (87)
50.5% (388)
-8.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
47.6% (84)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
42.9% (7)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Groulx is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Groulx shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Groulx
Norris
Home
53.8% (39)
48.1% (233)
Away
30.4% (79)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Groulx
Norris
P1
48.1%
53.1%
P2
38.6%
49.2%
P3
32.6%
48.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
38.1%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Josh Norris |