Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.1% vs Norris 52.1% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 50.6%
Defensive zone
Groulx 75.3%
Neutral zone
Groulx 67.4%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Groulx
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Groulx
Norris
Last 6: Groulx 2-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Groulx
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
Norris
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (393)
52.5% (3,089)
-7.7%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
53.4% (412)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (94)
45.4% (240)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Groulx shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Home / Away
Groulx
Norris
Home
50.0% (244)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
36.1% (252)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Groulx
Norris
P1
45.1%
55.5%
P2
43.9%
51.5%
P3
40.4%
50.1%
OT
33.3%
39.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Josh Norris |