Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.1% vs Scheifele 46.8% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 52.7%
Defensive zone
Groulx 88.7%
Neutral zone
Groulx 73.9%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Groulx
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Groulx
Scheifele
Last 6: Groulx 1-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Groulx
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Groulx
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Groulx
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (393)
46.3% (12,077)
-1.5%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
50.2% (2,576)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (94)
41.6% (598)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Groulx is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Groulx shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,862).
Home / Away
Groulx
Scheifele
Home
50.0% (244)
48.9% (7,678)
Away
36.1% (252)
44.7% (7,574)
By Period
Groulx
Scheifele
P1
45.1%
48.2%
P2
43.9%
45.6%
P3
40.4%
46.8%
OT
33.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |