Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Groulx wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 43.6% vs Granlund 49.5% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Groulx 84.2%
Defensive zone
Groulx 89.8%
Neutral zone
Groulx 83.8%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Groulx
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Groulx
Granlund
Last 10: Groulx 2-8 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
6
Groulx
Granlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Groulx
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (87)
49.7% (493)
-7.2%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.6% (111)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
31.1% (61)
-6.1%
On power play, Granlund has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Groulx is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Groulx shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Groulx
Granlund
Home
53.8% (39)
54.7% (276)
Away
30.4% (79)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Groulx
Granlund
P1
48.1%
52.2%
P2
38.6%
49.3%
P3
32.6%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
43.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
38.1%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |