Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.1% vs Granlund 48.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Groulx 81.4%
Defensive zone
Groulx 90.7%
Neutral zone
Groulx 85.7%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Groulx
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Groulx
Granlund
Last 10: Groulx 2-8 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
6
Groulx
Granlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Groulx
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Groulx
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (393)
48.6% (6,765)
-3.8%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
53.0% (760)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (94)
43.6% (635)
-8.5%
On power play, Granlund has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Groulx shoots left. Granlund is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,193).
Home / Away
Groulx
Granlund
Home
50.0% (244)
51.0% (3,905)
Away
36.1% (252)
46.4% (4,255)
By Period
Groulx
Granlund
P1
45.1%
48.8%
P2
43.9%
48.7%
P3
40.4%
48.5%
OT
33.3%
43.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 08:56 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |