Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 43.6% vs Cates 45.5% (-6.9%)
Offensive zone
Cates 73.4%
Defensive zone
Groulx 67.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.5%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Groulx
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (87)
45.5% (756)
-3.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
42.1% (114)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
44.7% (47)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Groulx is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Groulx shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Groulx
Cates
Home
53.8% (39)
46.2% (468)
Away
30.4% (79)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Groulx
Cates
P1
48.1%
46.0%
P2
38.6%
47.5%
P3
32.6%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
43.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
38.1%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%