Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 35.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 43.6% vs Hartman 45.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 62.1%
Defensive zone
Groulx 67.6%
Neutral zone
Groulx 53.3%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Groulx
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Groulx
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Groulx
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (87)
45.1% (874)
-2.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
47.4% (95)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
37.5% (16)
-12.5%
On power play, Hartman has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Groulx is 35.3% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Groulx shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Groulx
Hartman
Home
53.8% (39)
45.0% (515)
Away
30.4% (79)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Groulx
Hartman
P1
48.1%
47.3%
P2
38.6%
40.1%
P3
32.6%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
38.1%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |