Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Howden 49.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 84.6%
Defensive zone
Howden 83.4%
Neutral zone
Howden 79.7%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Horvat
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Horvat
Howden
Last 6: Horvat 1-5 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
2
Horvat
Howden
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
Horvat
Howden
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
2
Horvat
Howden
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
49.8% (402)
+5.9%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
55.6% (18)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
47.1% (34)
+1.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Howden is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Horvat
Howden
Home
59.4% (537)
46.5% (217)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.7% (237)
By Period
Horvat
Howden
P1
59.9%
51.4%
P2
54.5%
51.6%
P3
56.1%
48.5%
OT
55.0%
26.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 13, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Brett Howden |