Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Rowney shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Rowney 49.2% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 57.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 72.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Horvat
Rowney
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horvat
Rowney
Last 6: Horvat 4-2 Rowney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Rowney
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
0
1
Horvat
Rowney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Rowney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Rowney
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
49.4% (924)
+4.5%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
40.0% (5)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
48.6% (208)
-1.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rowney shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Home / Away
Horvat
Rowney
Home
56.1% (8,423)
50.4% (577)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.9% (560)
By Period
Horvat
Rowney
P1
54.1%
50.1%
P2
54.5%
47.9%
P3
55.0%
49.3%
OT
49.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2019 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |