Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Stephenson 52.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 60.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 80.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Horvat
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Horvat
Stephenson
Last 6: Horvat 5-1 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Stephenson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Stephenson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Stephenson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
52.0% (867)
+3.4%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
62.1% (248)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
39.5% (185)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Horvat is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Horvat shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stephenson
Home
59.0% (515)
53.1% (672)
Away
54.0% (544)
51.1% (628)
By Period
Horvat
Stephenson
P1
59.6%
54.2%
P2
53.9%
50.7%
P3
56.2%
52.0%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | OT | 04:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |