Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Giroux on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Giroux 61.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 64.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 65.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Horvat
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Giroux
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
4
Horvat
Giroux
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
61.0% (420)
-5.6%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
66.4% (113)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
65.6% (163)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Horvat is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Horvat shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Horvat
Giroux
Home
59.0% (515)
66.6% (350)
Away
54.0% (544)
59.2% (346)
By Period
Horvat
Giroux
P1
59.6%
62.1%
P2
53.9%
64.7%
P3
56.2%
61.6%
OT
55.0%
69.2%
Final 5 min
59.6%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Giroux
70.0%▲
57.0%
62.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 08:50 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |