Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Brown 40.1% (+16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 95.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 92.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 94.9%
94.9%
5.1%
Horvat
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Brown
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Brown
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Horvat
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
38.7% (313)
+15.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
36.8% (19)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
37.8% (217)
+9.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Horvat
Brown
Home
56.1% (8,423)
41.5% (246)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
35.6% (303)
By Period
Horvat
Brown
P1
54.1%
35.3%
P2
54.5%
40.6%
P3
55.0%
38.6%
OT
49.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Connor Brown |