Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Smith 41.2% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 98.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 94.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Horvat
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Horvat
Smith
Last 9: Horvat 7-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Horvat
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
0
Horvat
Smith
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
40.8% (1,023)
+13.1%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
39.4% (198)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
44.4% (9)
+2.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Home / Away
Horvat
Smith
Home
56.1% (8,423)
42.3% (556)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
39.1% (675)
By Period
Horvat
Smith
P1
54.1%
39.0%
P2
54.5%
42.1%
P3
55.0%
40.2%
OT
49.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |