Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gauthier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Gauthier 49.7% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 50.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 84.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 61.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Horvat
Gauthier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Gauthier
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Gauthier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
0
1
Horvat
Gauthier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Gauthier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Gauthier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
44.0% (116)
+11.4%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
56.3% (87)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
66.7% (3)
-18.6%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Horvat is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Horvat shoots left. Gauthier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gauthier
Home
59.0% (515)
53.1% (98)
Away
54.0% (544)
46.3% (108)
By Period
Horvat
Gauthier
P1
59.6%
43.0%
P2
53.9%
55.4%
P3
56.2%
50.9%
OT
55.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Gauthier
48.0%▼
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Cutter Gauthier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |