Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gauthier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Gauthier 47.7% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 61.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Horvat
Gauthier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Gauthier
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Gauthier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
0
1
Horvat
Gauthier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Gauthier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Gauthier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
43.2% (162)
+10.7%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
52.6% (97)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
50.0% (4)
-2.8%
On even strength, Horvat has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Gauthier is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gauthier
Home
56.1% (8,423)
53.3% (120)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
41.3% (143)
By Period
Horvat
Gauthier
P1
54.1%
43.8%
P2
54.5%
48.8%
P3
55.0%
47.4%
OT
49.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Gauthier
48.0%▼
50.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Cutter Gauthier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |