Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Perron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Perron 40.5% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 53.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 94.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 84.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Horvat
Perron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horvat
Perron
Last 6: Horvat 4-2 Perron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perron
0
1
Horvat
Perron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Perron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perron
0
1
Horvat
Perron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Perron
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
37.3% (400)
+16.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
44.5% (110)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
33.3% (12)
+13.9%
On even strength, Horvat has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perron shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Perron is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Horvat
Perron
Home
56.1% (8,423)
42.4% (271)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
34.7% (251)
By Period
Horvat
Perron
P1
54.1%
42.2%
P2
54.5%
34.1%
P3
55.0%
39.8%
OT
49.6%
38.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | David Perron |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | David Perron |