Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.3%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 31 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Ryan 55.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 53-22 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 75.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 58.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 58.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Horvat
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
53
-
22
(75 meetings)
53
22
Horvat
Ryan
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
24
7
Horvat
Ryan
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
16
10
Horvat
Ryan
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
13
5
Horvat
Ryan
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
56.6% (4,102)
-2.7%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
53.2% (342)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
47.8% (649)
-0.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,115).
Horvat shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Horvat
Ryan
Home
56.1% (8,401)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Horvat
Ryan
P1
54.1%
55.1%
P2
54.4%
54.7%
P3
55.0%
56.0%
OT
49.6%
58.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:26 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |