Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Brassard 49.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 24-20 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 60.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 80.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 74.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Horvat
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
20
(44 meetings)
24
20
Horvat
Brassard
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
4
13
Horvat
Brassard
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
14
3
Horvat
Brassard
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
4
Horvat
Brassard
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
48.7% (8,464)
+5.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
52.3% (1,260)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
50.3% (179)
-3.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Brassard is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (6,507).
Home / Away
Horvat
Brassard
Home
56.1% (8,423)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
Horvat
Brassard
P1
54.1%
49.0%
P2
54.5%
49.8%
P3
55.0%
48.4%
OT
49.6%
51.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 27, 2019 | OT | 01:13 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |