Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Caggiula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Caggiula 40.0% (+17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 83.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 89.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Horvat
Caggiula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horvat
Caggiula
Last 6: Horvat 4-2 Caggiula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Caggiula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Caggiula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Caggiula
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
37.9% (390)
+16.0%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
41.7% (12)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
18.2% (11)
+29.0%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Caggiula shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Caggiula is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Horvat
Caggiula
Home
56.1% (8,423)
41.9% (217)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
32.7% (196)
By Period
Horvat
Caggiula
P1
54.1%
37.7%
P2
54.5%
37.7%
P3
55.0%
37.3%
OT
49.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
37.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |