Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Larkin 52.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 59.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 64.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Horvat
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Horvat
Larkin
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Larkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
3
Horvat
Larkin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Larkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
51.1% (915)
+4.6%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
59.4% (261)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
48.2% (168)
+0.4%
On even strength, Horvat has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Horvat
Larkin
Home
59.4% (537)
51.7% (686)
Away
54.0% (544)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Horvat
Larkin
P1
59.9%
52.5%
P2
54.5%
52.7%
P3
56.1%
51.4%
OT
55.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |