Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Luostarinen 46.5% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 85.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 82.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 84.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Horvat
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Horvat
Luostarinen
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
2
Horvat
Luostarinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Luostarinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
1
Horvat
Luostarinen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
45.7% (92)
+9.7%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
45.0% (20)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
28.6% (14)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Horvat is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Horvat shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Horvat
Luostarinen
Home
59.0% (515)
44.4% (36)
Away
54.0% (544)
43.3% (90)
By Period
Horvat
Luostarinen
P1
59.6%
38.9%
P2
53.9%
44.7%
P3
56.2%
45.1%
OT
55.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |