Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Luostarinen 44.2% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 97.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 96.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 95.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 96.3%
96.3%
3.7%
Horvat
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
7
(23 meetings)
16
7
Horvat
Luostarinen
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Luostarinen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
2
Horvat
Luostarinen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
3
Horvat
Luostarinen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
44.6% (1,784)
+9.3%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
43.5% (69)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
37.9% (206)
+9.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,369).
Home / Away
Horvat
Luostarinen
Home
56.1% (8,423)
44.8% (1,015)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
43.0% (1,044)
By Period
Horvat
Luostarinen
P1
54.1%
43.0%
P2
54.5%
45.4%
P3
55.0%
43.2%
OT
49.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:11 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:02 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |