Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Rodrigues 47.1% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 93.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 79.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 82.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Horvat
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Horvat
Rodrigues
Last 8: Horvat 6-2 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Rodrigues
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Rodrigues
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Rodrigues
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
47.8% (651)
+7.6%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
47.2% (72)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
36.8% (68)
+11.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Horvat is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Horvat shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Horvat
Rodrigues
Home
59.0% (515)
47.9% (445)
Away
54.0% (544)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Horvat
Rodrigues
P1
59.6%
48.3%
P2
53.9%
47.0%
P3
56.2%
44.8%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |