Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Rodrigues 46.0% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 92.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 94.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 90.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Horvat
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
Horvat
Rodrigues
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
4
Horvat
Rodrigues
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
5
Horvat
Rodrigues
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Rodrigues
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
46.2% (2,897)
+7.7%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
44.8% (299)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
42.7% (220)
+4.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Home / Away
Horvat
Rodrigues
Home
56.1% (8,423)
47.1% (1,836)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
44.4% (1,580)
By Period
Horvat
Rodrigues
P1
54.1%
46.9%
P2
54.5%
46.1%
P3
55.0%
44.4%
OT
49.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 10, 2018 | OT | 01:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |