Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 34 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Malkin 45.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 52-37 in 89 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 75.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 96.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 91.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Horvat
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
37
(89 meetings)
52
37
Horvat
Malkin
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
14
15
Horvat
Malkin
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
24
10
Horvat
Malkin
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
14
12
Horvat
Malkin
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
45.6% (10,081)
+8.3%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
50.1% (668)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
32.2% (59)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Home / Away
Horvat
Malkin
Home
56.1% (8,423)
47.6% (5,395)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
44.0% (5,436)
By Period
Horvat
Malkin
P1
54.1%
45.9%
P2
54.5%
46.2%
P3
55.0%
45.2%
OT
49.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |