Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Nazar 47.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 73.9%
Defensive zone
Nazar 71.2%
Neutral zone
Nazar 73.8%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Horvat
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
Nazar
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
1
Horvat
Nazar
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Nazar
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nazar
0
1
Horvat
Nazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
47.2% (574)
+8.5%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
51.0% (143)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
30.2% (43)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Nazar is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nazar
Home
59.4% (537)
45.0% (329)
Away
54.0% (544)
48.5% (431)
By Period
Horvat
Nazar
P1
59.9%
47.8%
P2
54.5%
43.4%
P3
56.1%
48.4%
OT
55.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:55 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |