Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Nielsen 46.8% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 94.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 81.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 87.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Horvat
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Nielsen
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Nielsen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Nielsen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
46.5% (409)
+9.8%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
43.5% (23)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
41.7% (24)
+7.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Nielsen is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nielsen
Home
57.3% (742)
44.7% (264)
Away
57.4% (741)
47.9% (192)
By Period
Horvat
Nielsen
P1
59.0%
48.4%
P2
59.7%
49.7%
P3
53.6%
38.0%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
57.3%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |