Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (53% H2H, 15 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 22-21 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 51.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 57.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Horvat
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
21
(43 meetings)
22
21
Horvat
Nielsen
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
7
Horvat
Nielsen
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
8
9
Horvat
Nielsen
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
5
Horvat
Nielsen
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
49.3% (7,608)
+4.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
54.7% (594)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
41.7% (1,420)
+5.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nielsen
Home
56.1% (8,423)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Horvat
Nielsen
P1
54.1%
49.7%
P2
54.5%
47.6%
P3
55.0%
48.2%
OT
49.6%
46.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 17:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 16:17 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 14:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 22, 2017 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 22, 2017 | 2 | 14:08 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 22, 2017 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2017 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 22, 2017 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 28, 2017 | OT | 01:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2017 | OT | 00:47 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |