Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Barbashev 42.2% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Barbashev leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Barbashev 55.8%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 50.3%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 54.0%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Horvat
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Horvat
Barbashev
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
2
Horvat
Barbashev
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
3
Horvat
Barbashev
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Barbashev
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
42.0% (1,740)
+11.9%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
46.1% (89)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
36.7% (139)
+10.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Barbashev is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Horvat
Barbashev
Home
56.1% (8,423)
42.4% (934)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
41.3% (1,034)
By Period
Horvat
Barbashev
P1
54.1%
40.8%
P2
54.5%
42.3%
P3
55.0%
42.2%
OT
49.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |