Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Hughes 36.5% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 84.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 99.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 97.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 97.4%
97.4%
2.6%
Horvat
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Horvat
Hughes
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Horvat
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
0
Horvat
Hughes
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
1
Horvat
Hughes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
36.0% (2,926)
+17.9%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
38.8% (224)
+22.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
31.0% (42)
+16.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hughes
Home
56.1% (8,423)
36.8% (1,681)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
35.3% (1,511)
By Period
Horvat
Hughes
P1
54.1%
36.9%
P2
54.5%
33.4%
P3
55.0%
38.2%
OT
49.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:55 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |