Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.7%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 50 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Spezza 54.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 51-42 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 58.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 57.4%
Neutral zone
Spezza 57.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Horvat
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
51
(93 meetings)
42
51
Horvat
Spezza
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
22
28
Horvat
Spezza
50 total
Defensive Zone
Even
17
17
Horvat
Spezza
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
6
Horvat
Spezza
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
54.4% (7,990)
-0.5%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
56.8% (1,726)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
52.7% (643)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Horvat
Spezza
Home
56.1% (8,423)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Horvat
Spezza
P1
54.1%
55.7%
P2
54.5%
54.4%
P3
55.0%
54.1%
OT
49.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |