Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Pageau 59.0% (-3.2%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 75.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 56.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Horvat
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
59.4% (726)
-3.7%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
69.0% (42)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
59.7% (221)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pageau
Home
59.4% (537)
58.4% (430)
Away
54.0% (544)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Horvat
Pageau
P1
59.9%
55.4%
P2
54.5%
61.8%
P3
56.1%
61.5%
OT
55.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%