Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 59.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Pageau 58.8% (-3.3%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 73.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 69.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Horvat
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (493)
59.2% (502)
-2.8%
Power Play
63.7% (168)
69.6% (23)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (83)
61.3% (163)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Horvat is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Horvat shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pageau
Home
58.8% (391)
59.5% (299)
Away
54.4% (353)
60.4% (389)
By Period
Horvat
Pageau
P1
61.2%
55.3%
P2
53.1%
62.2%
P3
55.1%
61.1%
OT
71.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
61.5%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.7%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%