Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Skinner 44.7% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Skinner leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Skinner 95.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.0%
Neutral zone
Skinner 74.4%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Horvat
Skinner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Horvat
Skinner
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Skinner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
0
8
Horvat
Skinner
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Skinner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Skinner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
42.3% (1,317)
+11.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
52.0% (404)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
33.3% (15)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Skinner is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,097).
Home / Away
Horvat
Skinner
Home
56.1% (8,423)
48.2% (949)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
39.9% (791)
By Period
Horvat
Skinner
P1
54.1%
41.6%
P2
54.5%
46.0%
P3
55.0%
46.4%
OT
49.6%
23.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |