Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Drouin 44.5% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 55.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 87.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 77.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Horvat
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Horvat
Drouin
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
5
Horvat
Drouin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Drouin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Drouin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
43.5% (1,824)
+10.4%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
48.3% (387)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
39.1% (23)
+8.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Home / Away
Horvat
Drouin
Home
56.1% (8,423)
44.0% (1,041)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
44.5% (1,193)
By Period
Horvat
Drouin
P1
54.1%
45.9%
P2
54.5%
42.0%
P3
55.0%
45.0%
OT
49.6%
47.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 03:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |