Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Staal 54.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 61.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 63.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Horvat
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Horvat
Staal
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Horvat
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
56.2% (989)
-0.5%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
66.0% (159)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
42.7% (253)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Horvat
Staal
Home
59.4% (537)
55.4% (699)
Away
54.0% (544)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Horvat
Staal
P1
59.9%
55.7%
P2
54.5%
54.7%
P3
56.1%
53.4%
OT
55.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |